Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.17/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.26
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Venados
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.04.2025 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
19.10.2024 Venados Venados 4-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
01.02.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-3 HT 1-1 Venados Venados MEK2
16.10.2023 Venados Venados 4-1 HT 1-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
12.04.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-5 HT 0-2 Venados Venados MEK2
11.08.2022 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa squeezed past Venados 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Venados at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venados led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 3.00 for Venados.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Venados?

Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 30%, draw 26%, Venados 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Venados), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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