Naxxar Lions 1-3 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
8.05
Draw
15%
4.83
Away Pick
77%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.14
Over
58%
1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
45%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
1%
2/2
50%
2/X
3%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Naxxar Lions The Market 12%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana The Market 79%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
0.69 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.25
2.05 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.57
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Great
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
198 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Floriana
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-2 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
25.02.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
13.01.2024 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTAK
21.10.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
1 - 3
AWAY Floriana
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Naxxar Lions vs Floriana
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Floriana saw off Naxxar Lions 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (58%) landed.

On the day, Floriana saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.25 a game for Naxxar Lions against 2.00 for Floriana.

Naxxar Lions vs Floriana Result & Final Score

Naxxar Lions 1 - 3 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Naxxar Lions vs Floriana Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 8%, draw 15%, Floriana 77%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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