Arendal 4-1 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.29
Over 2.5
68%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.81
No
39%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.7pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.2pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
32%
Under 2.5
40%
-7.4pp
68%
Over 2.5
60%
+7.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+10.2pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +26%
2.36/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.82
+3% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Notodden
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Notodden Notodden 1-1 HT 1-1 Arendal Arendal NOR3
13.07.2024 Notodden Notodden 0-1 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
01.06.2024 Arendal Arendal 1-2 HT 0-2 Notodden Notodden NOR3
22.10.2023 Notodden Notodden 3-0 HT 2-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
11.06.2023 Arendal Arendal 0-3 HT 0-2 Notodden Notodden NOR3
09.07.2022 Arendal Arendal 2-0 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal swept aside Notodden 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arendal as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notodden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Arendal and 1.50 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Notodden?

Arendal 4-1 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Arendal 67%, draw 16%, Notodden 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arendal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arendal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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