Binacional 1-3 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binacional EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -17%
1.07/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.20
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
15.4 Crosses 19.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binacional
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.98 xG 2.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 307
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 5-0 HT 1-0 Binacional Binacional PER
27.07.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 5-0 HT 2-0 Binacional Binacional PER
18.05.2023 Binacional Binacional 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
18.09.2022 Binacional Binacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
30.04.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-0 HT 0-0 Binacional Binacional PER
08.10.2021 Binacional Binacional 3-4 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binacional
1-3
AWAY Sporting Cristal
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 219
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Binacional vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal saw off Binacional 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Binacional had 59% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 41%, shots finished 19-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Binacional and 2.83 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Binacional vs Sporting Cristal?

Binacional 1-3 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binacional vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Binacional 30%, draw 25%, Sporting Cristal 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
17 Aug 2025
04:00 Alianza Lima vs ADT Analysis →
20:00 Sport Huancayo vs Universitario Analysis →
23:00 Melgar vs Ayacucho FC Analysis →