Alianza Lima vs ADT Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v ADT — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs ADT Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
ADT
PER
2-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 2-0
ADT
PER
Alianza Lima 3-1 ADT — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima saw off ADT 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 61% of the ball to ADT's 39%, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 2.96 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADT led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alianza Lima and 1.17 for ADT.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs ADT?
Alianza Lima 3-1 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs ADT?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 66%, draw 19%, ADT 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while BTTS No went the other way.