Plaza Colonia 0-2 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 29%
-19% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
0.97/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.14
-26% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plaza Colonia
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Cerro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2025 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
15.02.2025 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
04.12.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
25.07.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
08.05.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
04.02.2021 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plaza Colonia
0-2
AWAY Cerro
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Plaza Colonia vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro got the better of Plaza Colonia 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Plaza Colonia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Plaza Colonia had 50% of the ball to Cerro's 50%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plaza Colonia had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Plaza Colonia and 0.83 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs Cerro?

Plaza Colonia 0-2 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plaza Colonia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 47%, draw 25%, Cerro 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Plaza Colonia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plaza Colonia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
17 Aug 2025
00:00 Nacional de Football vs Progreso Analysis →
17:00 CA River Plate vs Torque Analysis →
21:00 Racing Club Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Analysis →