Alta 1-1 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +16%
0.43/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.22
-28% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
11.0 Crosses 19.9
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.98 xG 1.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
363 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 28
5 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-2 HT 0-1 Alta Alta USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
1-1
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.20 xG 1.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
382 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alta vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta and Greenville Triumph couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alta had 55% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 45%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.20 to 1.91.

What was the final score of Alta vs Greenville Triumph?

Alta 1-1 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alta 32%, draw 28%, Greenville Triumph 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greenville Triumph), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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