Zamora 1-0 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.01/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.48
+4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.5 Crosses 19.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
220 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
07.08.2024 Zamora Zamora 0-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
17.02.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 3-1 HT 1-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
17.09.2023 Zamora Zamora 4-1 HT 1-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
26.02.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
16.10.2022 Zamora Zamora 0-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
1-0
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.76 xG 0.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora nicked a narrow win over Metropolitanos 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamora as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zamora had 42% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 58%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.76 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zamora and 1.00 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Metropolitanos?

Zamora 1-0 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zamora 44%, draw 27%, Metropolitanos 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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