Monagas vs Carabobo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monagas v Carabobo — Team-Based Signals
Monagas vs Carabobo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Carabobo
VEN
Monagas 2-0 Carabobo — Actual Match Statistics
Monagas beat Carabobo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Carabobo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Monagas had 38% of the ball to Carabobo's 62%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.86 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Monagas and 0.67 for Carabobo.
What was the final score of Monagas vs Carabobo?
Monagas 2-0 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monagas vs Carabobo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monagas 29%, draw 29%, Carabobo 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Carabobo) went the other way.