Caracas FC 2-0 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.7pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -13%
2.06/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.25
+16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
18.4 Crosses 13.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
229 Passes 251
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
08.08.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
17.02.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
05.11.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
30.10.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
03.09.2023 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
2-0
AWAY Portuguesa FC
0.65 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 8
302 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC beat Portuguesa FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Caracas FC had 49% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 51%, shots finished 7-25, expected goals 0.65 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Portuguesa FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caracas FC and 0.83 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC?

Caracas FC 2-0 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 43%, draw 29%, Portuguesa FC 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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