Mirassol FC vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mirassol FC v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Mirassol FC vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Mirassol FC 1-5 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo cruised past Mirassol FC 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.15 to 2.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mirassol FC and 2.50 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Flamengo?
Mirassol FC 1-5 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 28%, draw 26%, Flamengo 46%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.