Corinthians vs Cruzeiro Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Aug 2026

Corinthians
vs
Cruzeiro
📅17/08/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Corinthians vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Corinthians v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Corinthians vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 343
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.02.2026 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
15.12.2025 Corinthians Corinthians 1-2 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRK
11.12.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
24.11.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 3-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
24.07.2025 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.11.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 2-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
COMMENT Corinthians vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Corinthians have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home league games, while Cruzeiro have won 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Cruzeiro.

When do Corinthians and Cruzeiro play?

Corinthians play Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/08/2026, kick-off 01:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?

Our model's prediction for Corinthians vs Cruzeiro is a Corinthians win at about 42% probability, priced 2.19 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Corinthians 42%, draw 28%, Cruzeiro 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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