Cruzeiro 0-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 11 Dec 2025

Cruzeiro
0-1 HT 0-1
Corinthians
📅11/12/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2025

Cruzeiro vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.56
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.26
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
17.1
X/1
15%
3.86
X/2
7%
10.4
X/X
13%
3.94
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
10%
9.95
2/X
5%
19.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruzeiro v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.10/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.34
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +92%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
27.1 Crosses 12.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

Cruzeiro vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Corinthians
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 Passes 344
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 3-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
24.07.2025 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.11.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 2-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
07.07.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 3-0 HT 2-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
20.08.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
16.04.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1

Cruzeiro 0-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
0-1
AWAY Corinthians
1.16 xG 1.46
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
381 Passes 199
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 17
36 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians squeezed past Cruzeiro 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 63% of the ball to Corinthians's 37%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.16 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.83 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?

Cruzeiro 0-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Cup on 11/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 51%, draw 27%, Corinthians 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cruzeiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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