Gagra 1-1 Spaeri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 17 Aug 2026

Gagra
1-1 HT 0-0
Spaeri
📅17/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.9
Over
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
43%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Spaeri The Market 39%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.58/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.34
+25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Spaeri
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2026 Spaeri Spaeri 3-0 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
11.03.2026 Gagra Gagra 0-3 HT 0-2 Spaeri Spaeri GUR
05.11.2024 Spaeri Spaeri 2-2 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GURCK
12.12.2022 Spaeri Spaeri 3-1 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1-1
AWAY Spaeri
15 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Spaeri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra and Spaeri couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gagra at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spaeri led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Gagra and 2.75 for Spaeri.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Spaeri?

Gagra 1-1 Spaeri in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Spaeri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gagra 41%, draw 24%, Spaeri 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gagra), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gagra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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