Atletico Choloma vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Choloma v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Choloma vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Marathon edged past Atletico Choloma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Atletico Choloma and 1.25 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Atletico Choloma vs Marathon?
Atletico Choloma 0-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Choloma vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Choloma 19%, draw 32%, Marathon 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.