UNAN Managua 2-1 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 17 Aug 2026

📅17/08/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
1.9
Over
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
33%
4-5
30%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-7.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+7.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.3pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa The Market 34%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
2.13/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.80
+50% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jalapa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2026 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 2-4 HT 1-3 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
09.02.2026 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
24.10.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 5-0 HT 3-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
10.08.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 5-1 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
07.10.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
04.08.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-1 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
2-1
AWAY Jalapa
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua edged past Jalapa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day UNAN Managua made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jalapa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for UNAN Managua and 2.00 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

UNAN Managua 2-1 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 40%, draw 25%, Jalapa 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UNAN Managua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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