Maroons vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maroons v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals
Maroons vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Maroons 2-0 Uganda Police — Actual Match Statistics
Maroons got the better of Uganda Police 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Maroons found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 12-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maroons had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maroons and 1.33 for Uganda Police.
What was the final score of Maroons vs Uganda Police?
Maroons 2-0 Uganda Police in the UGS8 on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maroons vs Uganda Police?
Before kick-off our model rated an Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maroons 33%, draw 27%, Uganda Police 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Uganda Police) went the other way.