Maroons vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maroons v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals
Maroons vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Maroons 3-1 Uganda Police — Actual Match Statistics
Maroons saw off Uganda Police 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maroons as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Maroons had 43% of the ball to Uganda Police's 57%, shots finished 13-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maroons and 1.50 for Uganda Police.
What was the final score of Maroons vs Uganda Police?
Maroons 3-1 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maroons vs Uganda Police?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maroons 46%, draw 23%, Uganda Police 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maroons) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.