Maroons vs Uganda Police Prediction — Model Probabilities
Maroons v Uganda Police — Team-Based Signals
Maroons vs Uganda Police Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Maroons 3-1 Uganda Police — Actual Match Statistics
Maroons had too much for Uganda Police 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maroons as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 46%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.66, roughly 60%.
Under the surface, Uganda Police saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 13-11.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Maroons against 1.50 for Uganda Police.
Maroons vs Uganda Police Result & Final Score
Maroons 3 - 1 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Maroons vs Uganda Police Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maroons 42%, draw 29%, Uganda Police 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maroons) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.