Alfreton Town 1-1 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
410 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Spalding United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.09.2024 Spalding United Spalding United 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
1-1
AWAY Spalding United
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town and Spalding United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Alfreton Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 61% of the ball to Spalding United's 39%, shots finished 22-8.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Spalding United?

Alfreton Town 1-1 Spalding United in the England - FA Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 52%, draw 23%, Spalding United 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alfreton Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
17 Sep 2024
00:00 Gloucester City vs Gosport Borough Analysis →
21:45 Hungerford Town vs Winchester City Analysis →
21:45 Scunthorpe United vs Newcastle Town Analysis →
21:45 Ilkeston Town vs Hereford FC Analysis →
21:45 Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Wanderers Analysis →
21:45 Scarborough Athletic vs Dunston UTS Analysis →