Ilkeston Town 0-1 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 54%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.10
-28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hereford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.09.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
0-1
AWAY Hereford FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC squeezed past Ilkeston Town 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hereford FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 60% of the ball to Hereford FC's 40%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Hereford FC?

Ilkeston Town 0-1 Hereford FC in the England - FA Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 31%, draw 29%, Hereford FC 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hereford FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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