Hungerford Town 0-1 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.4pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hungerford Town
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Winchester City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 1-1 HT 1-1 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town FAK
06.04.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 1-0 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
14.11.2023 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 3-5 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hungerford Town
0-1
AWAY Winchester City
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hungerford Town vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City edged past Hungerford Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Winchester City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hungerford Town had 60% of the ball to Winchester City's 40%, shots finished 14-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hungerford Town and 1.75 for Winchester City.

What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Winchester City?

Hungerford Town 0-1 Winchester City in the England - FA Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 37%, draw 25%, Winchester City 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Winchester City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Winchester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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