Banbury United 2-3 Melksham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 17 Sep 2024

Banbury United
2-3
Melksham Town
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Banbury United vs Melksham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Banbury United v Melksham Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banbury United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Melksham Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+111% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
631 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Banbury United vs Melksham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melksham Town edged past Banbury United 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Banbury United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Banbury United vs Melksham Town?

Banbury United 2-3 Melksham Town in the England - FA Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banbury United vs Melksham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banbury United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Banbury United 44%, draw 25%, Melksham Town 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Banbury United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banbury United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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