Wingate & Finchley 0-1 Cray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.3pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wingate & Finchley EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wingate & Finchley
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Cray Wanderers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
14.09.2024 Cray Wanderers Cray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Wingate & Finchley Wingate & Finchley FAK
27.01.2024 Cray Wanderers Cray Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Wingate & Finchley Wingate & Finchley İNGNLP
04.11.2023 Wingate & Finchley Wingate & Finchley 1-3 HT 1-1 Cray Wanderers Cray Wanderers İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cray Wanderers squeezed past Wingate & Finchley 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Cray Wanderers made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cray Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wingate & Finchley and 1.67 for Cray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Wanderers?

Wingate & Finchley 0-1 Cray Wanderers in the England - FA Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wingate & Finchley win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wingate & Finchley 37%, draw 27%, Cray Wanderers 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wingate & Finchley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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