Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.30/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.38
-35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.20 xG 0.71
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
516 Passes 266
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.08.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
27.07.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-4 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
24.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
17.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-3 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
28.02.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
20.09.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-3 HT 0-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0
AWAY Rubin Kazan
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg saw off Rubin Kazan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 63% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 37%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.83 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Cup on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 55%, draw 23%, Rubin Kazan 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ BTTS No
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