Mosta 2-2 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.43/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.91
+48% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hibernians FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MALTP
07.12.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 2-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
19.10.2024 Mosta Mosta 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
17.12.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
21.01.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
04.09.2022 Mosta Mosta 0-5 HT 0-2 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
2-2
AWAY Hibernians FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta and Hibernians FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mosta had 46% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 54%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mosta and 2.00 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Hibernians FC?

Mosta 2-2 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mosta 29%, draw 33%, Hibernians FC 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernians FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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