Marsaxlokk FC 2-0 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 34%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.03/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.31
-8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gzira United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MALTP
08.12.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
18.08.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
18.08.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
06.04.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
03.12.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 2-4 HT 1-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2-0
AWAY Gzira United
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC got the better of Gzira United 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Marsaxlokk FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 41% of the ball to Gzira United's 59%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 0.67 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United?

Marsaxlokk FC 2-0 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 36%, draw 27%, Gzira United 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gzira United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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