Olancho 0-1 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.03
Over
63%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
38%
4-5
32%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Olancho win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
64%
Home Win
61%
+3.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
45%
-7.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
55%
+7.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.8pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa The Market 20%
-5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +10%
1.98/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.48
-2% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Juticalpa
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
03.08.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
21.04.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
17.02.2025 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 0-1 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
30.09.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
29.07.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juticalpa edged past Olancho 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Olancho at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Olancho and 0.60 for Juticalpa.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Juticalpa?

Olancho 0-1 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Olancho 64%, draw 19%, Juticalpa 16%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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