Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.48
Over 2.5
50%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
5.29
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
64%
-13.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
36%
+13.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
1.83/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.02
+41% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
26.09.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
14.03.2025 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
07.02.2025 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
09.11.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
17.10.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.05.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-3 HT 1-3 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan nicked a narrow win over Mes Rafsanjan 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.67 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 46%, draw 28%, Mes Rafsanjan 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan)
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