Aluminij 2-2 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.11/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.18
-15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mura
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
29.04.2024 Mura Mura 3-1 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.03.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 2-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
04.11.2023 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
25.08.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 0-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
18.04.2022 Mura Mura 3-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
2-2
AWAY Mura
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij and Mura shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mura at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aluminij had 61% of the ball to Mura's 39%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mura led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aluminij and 1.50 for Mura.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Mura?

Aluminij 2-2 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 33%, draw 23%, Mura 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mura) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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