Alcoyano 1-1 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.38/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.73
-14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sevilla II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2022 Alcoyano Alcoyano 2-1 HT 2-1 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
19.09.2021 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-3 HT 1-2 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
1-1
AWAY Sevilla II
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano and Sevilla II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alcoyano at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Alcoyano had 51% of the ball to Sevilla II's 49%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alcoyano had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Alcoyano and 1.00 for Sevilla II.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Sevilla II?

Alcoyano 1-1 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 48%, draw 28%, Sevilla II 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcoyano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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