Benevento vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benevento v Avellino — Team-Based Signals
Benevento vs Avellino Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Avellino
İTC
2-1
HT 0-0
Avellino
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Benevento
İTB
Benevento 2-2 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics
Benevento and Avellino couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Benevento at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Benevento had 64% of the ball to Avellino's 36%, shots finished 18-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Avellino led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Benevento and 1.00 for Avellino.
What was the final score of Benevento vs Avellino?
Benevento 2-2 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benevento vs Avellino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Benevento 43%, draw 26%, Avellino 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.