AC Milan (K) 0-1 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.51/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.50
-3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% / +37%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.6 Crosses 15.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Milan (K)
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Como (K)
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.67 xG 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
334 Passes 204
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
05.05.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
30.03.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
22.01.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.10.2023 Como (K) Como (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
0-1
AWAY Como (K)
0.51 xG 1.59
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
371 Passes 166
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
20 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) squeezed past AC Milan (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was AC Milan (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 64% of the ball to Como (K)'s 36%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.51 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for AC Milan (K) and 0.80 for Como (K).

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Como (K)?

AC Milan (K) 0-1 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 50%, draw 24%, Como (K) 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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