One Knoxville 2-0 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Nov 2025

📅17/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+4.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.9pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.27/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.81
-10% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
18.6 Crosses 21.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.19 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
345 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-0 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
17.03.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-2 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
27.10.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
24.08.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
2-0
AWAY Spokane Velocity
2.20 xG 0.78
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 11
215 Passes 332
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville got the better of Spokane Velocity 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, One Knoxville had 41% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 59%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 2.20 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for One Knoxville and 0.75 for Spokane Velocity.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

One Knoxville 2-0 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 47%, draw 30%, Spokane Velocity 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ BTTS Yes
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