One Knoxville 1-0 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+5.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.13/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.17
-15% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +77%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.9 Crosses 19.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
355 Passes 391
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-2 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
27.10.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
24.08.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-0
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.61 xG 1.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
313 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville edged past Spokane Velocity 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, One Knoxville had 47% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 53%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.61 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for One Knoxville and 1.00 for Spokane Velocity.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

One Knoxville 1-0 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 46%, draw 24%, Spokane Velocity 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Over 2.5
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