Tormenta 4-0 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +0%
1.29/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.18
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.4 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tormenta
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
345 Passes 368
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-0 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
15.06.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
17.03.2024 Tormenta Tormenta 1-1 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
20.08.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 4-2 HT 1-2 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
27.07.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-4 HT 1-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
29.06.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 0-1 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
4-0
AWAY Forward Madison
1.90 xG 1.31
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
244 Passes 387
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tormenta ran out comfortable winners over Forward Madison 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Tormenta made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tormenta had 40% of the ball to Forward Madison's 60%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.90 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tormenta and 1.00 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Forward Madison?

Tormenta 4-0 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 33%, draw 28%, Forward Madison 39%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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