Stourbridge 2-1 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
61%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
19%
-2.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
61%
Away Win
58%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 62%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.55/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.66
+29% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Harborough Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
25.01.2025 Harborough Town Harborough Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
15.10.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-4 HT 0-1 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
14.09.2024 Harborough Town Harborough Town 4-2 HT 3-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stourbridge
2-1
AWAY Harborough Town
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge nicked a narrow win over Harborough Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Harborough Town carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Stourbridge had 40% of the ball to Harborough Town's 60%, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Harborough Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stourbridge and 2.67 for Harborough Town.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Harborough Town?

Stourbridge 2-1 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 17%, draw 22%, Harborough Town 61%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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