Harborough Town 0-1 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
44%
+7.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-6.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.87/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.46
+14% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harborough Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Stourbridge
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.10.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-4 HT 0-1 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
14.09.2024 Harborough Town Harborough Town 4-2 HT 3-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge FAK
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge squeezed past Harborough Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Harborough Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Harborough Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Harborough Town and 1.50 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Stourbridge?

Harborough Town 0-1 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 51%, draw 25%, Stourbridge 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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