Casa Pia 1-2 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 17 Dec 2025

Casa Pia
1-2 HT 0-1
Torreense
📅17/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

Casa Pia vs Torreense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Casa Pia v Torreense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 29%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+49% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Casa Pia vs Torreense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Torreense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.07.2023 Torreense Torreense 0-2 HT 0-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia PRLK

Casa Pia 1-2 Torreense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casa Pia
1-2
AWAY Torreense
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casa Pia vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense nicked a narrow win over Casa Pia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Casa Pia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Casa Pia had 58% of the ball to Torreense's 42%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Torreense?

Casa Pia 1-2 Torreense in the Portugal - Cup on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 45%, draw 26%, Torreense 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Casa Pia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casa Pia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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