Farense vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
Farense 0-2 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica saw off Farense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Farense had 36% of the ball to Benfica's 64%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.55 to 2.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Farense and 2.83 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Farense vs Benfica?
Farense 0-2 Benfica in the Portugal - Cup on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Farense 15%, draw 15%, Benfica 71%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.