Vila Mea 0-1 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
18%
3.45
Away
58%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.68
Over 2.5
57%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.68
2-3 Goals
48%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.03
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.6pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.1pp
58%
Away Win
53%
+4.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
56%
-12.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
44%
+12.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Mea EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 57%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.19/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.85/1.00
+68% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
201 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Mea
0-1
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vila Mea vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria edged past Vila Mea 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uniao De Leiria as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vila Mea had 53% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 47%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Vila Mea vs Uniao De Leiria?

Vila Mea 0-1 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - Cup on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Mea vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vila Mea 24%, draw 19%, Uniao De Leiria 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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