Benfica vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
Benfica 3-2 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica nicked a narrow win over Farense 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Benfica had 71% of the ball to Farense's 29%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.36 to 1.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Benfica and 0.67 for Farense.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Farense?
Benfica 3-2 Farense in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Benfica 72%, draw 16%, Farense 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.