SC Villa 1-0 Calvary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 17 Dec 2025

SC Villa
1-0 HT 1-0
Calvary
📅17/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

SC Villa vs Calvary Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.22
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
78%
+2.8pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.2pp
5%
Away Win
7%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.9pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SC Villa v Calvary — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Calvary EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.79/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.26
+26% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
474 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

SC Villa 1-0 Calvary — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
1-0
AWAY Calvary
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Calvary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa nicked a narrow win over Calvary 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SC Villa had 52% of the ball to Calvary's 48%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Calvary?

SC Villa 1-0 Calvary in the Uganda - Premier League on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Calvary?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 80%, draw 15%, Calvary 5%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✗ Over 2.5
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