Mbarara City vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbarara City v URA — Team-Based Signals
Mbarara City vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
URA
UGA
2-0
HT 1-0
Mbarara City
UGA
Mbarara City nicked a narrow win over URA 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 34% / 40% — and on the day Mbarara City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, URA led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Mbarara City and 1.00 for URA.
What was the final score of Mbarara City vs URA?
Mbarara City 1-0 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs URA?
Before kick-off our model rated an URA win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 26%, draw 34%, URA 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (URA) went the other way.