Lugazi Municipal 1-2 Vipers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
5.91
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
66%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.27
No
47%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
3%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
14%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
66%
Away Win
62%
+4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.7pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Vipers EU Bookmakers 66%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
0.71/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.43
+5% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +104%
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugazi Municipal
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vipers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2025 Vipers Vipers 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugazi Municipal UGA
26.09.2024 Lugazi Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugazi Municipal
1-2
AWAY Vipers
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Lugazi Municipal vs Vipers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers squeezed past Lugazi Municipal 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lugazi Municipal had 47% of the ball to Vipers's 53%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vipers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lugazi Municipal and 0.50 for Vipers.

What was the final score of Lugazi Municipal vs Vipers?

Lugazi Municipal 1-2 Vipers in the Uganda - Premier League on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugazi Municipal vs Vipers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lugazi Municipal 8%, draw 25%, Vipers 66%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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