Maroons 4-0 Express — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 17 Dec 2025

📅17/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.97
Over 2.5
35%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
47%
+17.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
53%
-17.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maroons EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Express EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.63/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.97
+0% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
347 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maroons
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Express
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Maroons Maroons 1-0 HT 0-0 Express Express UGA
28.09.2024 Express Express 0-0 HT 0-0 Maroons Maroons UGA
28.03.2024 Maroons Maroons 2-0 HT 0-0 Express Express UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maroons
4-0
AWAY Express
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maroons vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons ran out comfortable winners over Express 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maroons as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Maroons had 48% of the ball to Express's 52%, shots finished 18-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maroons had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maroons and 0.00 for Express.

What was the final score of Maroons vs Express?

Maroons 4-0 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 17/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maroons vs Express?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maroons 46%, draw 29%, Express 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maroons), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maroons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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