Reading 1-3 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Jan 2025

Reading
1-3 HT 0-2
Stockport County
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Reading vs Stockport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 32% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.94
1/2
6%
24.3
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
8%
7.73
X/2
14%
4.51
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.6
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reading v Stockport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 52%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.23/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.79
+43% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
13.6 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.7

Reading vs Stockport County Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.39 xG 2.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
2 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
265 Passes 390
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 4-1 HT 3-1 Reading Reading İN1

Reading 1-3 Stockport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
1-3
AWAY Stockport County
1.65 xG 3.32
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 2
338 Passes 178
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reading vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County got the better of Reading 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reading had 63% of the ball to Stockport County's 37%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.65 to 3.32.

What was the final score of Reading vs Stockport County?

Reading 1-3 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Reading 31%, draw 28%, Stockport County 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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