Bolton Wanderers 2-2 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 25% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.2
X/1
20%
3.88
X/2
10%
13.75
X/X
8%
6.36
2/1
6%
21.7
2/2
9%
11.6
2/X
7%
19.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.79/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.46
+7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.7 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.26 xG 0.61
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
404 Passes 183
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
02.03.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
20.02.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
10.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
12.11.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
01.02.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Cambridge United
2.21 xG 0.74
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
513 Passes 159
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
30 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers and Cambridge United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Bolton Wanderers carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 71% of the ball to Cambridge United's 29%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.21 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 0.50 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Cambridge United?

Bolton Wanderers 2-2 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 55%, draw 22%, Cambridge United 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ BTTS No
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