Cambridge United 1-1 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Nov 2024

Cambridge United
1-1 HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Cambridge United vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 32% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.45
1/2
12%
23.85
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
9%
8.46
X/2
12%
4.17
X/X
13%
5.01
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.42
2/X
10%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambridge United v Bolton Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
0.97/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.82
-2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
188 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 69%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
17.2 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Cambridge United vs Bolton Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.54 xG 1.29
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
186 Passes 420
63% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
20.02.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
10.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
12.11.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
01.02.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
28.08.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1

Cambridge United 1-1 Bolton Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
1-1
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.00 xG 0.82
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
121 Passes 455
57% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United and Bolton Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bolton Wanderers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Cambridge United had 29% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 71%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.00 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cambridge United and 1.17 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Cambridge United 1-1 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 26%, draw 29%, Bolton Wanderers 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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