Wrexham 1-0 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.8
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.27
6+ Goals
10%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 37% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.88
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.48
X/2
12%
7.25
X/X
18%
4.18
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.69
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +30%
1.03/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.18
+37% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
22.4 Crosses 13.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lincoln City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
29.11.2016 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
04.10.2016 Wrexham Wrexham 1-2 HT 0-2 Lincoln City Lincoln City İBSL
23.01.2016 Wrexham Wrexham 3-1 HT 1-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İBSL
05.09.2015 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
21.03.2015 Wrexham Wrexham 1-1 HT 1-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İBSL
18.10.2014 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
1-0
AWAY Lincoln City
0.93 xG 0.92
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
394 Passes 296
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham edged past Lincoln City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Wrexham made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Wrexham had 56% of the ball to Lincoln City's 44%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.93 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wrexham and 1.17 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Lincoln City?

Wrexham 1-0 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 36%, draw 31%, Lincoln City 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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