Wigan Athletic 2-1 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Nov 2024

Wigan Athletic
2-1 HT 2-0
Northampton Town
📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Wigan Athletic vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 32% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.22
X/2
9%
8.27
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1
9%
24.7
2/2
9%
6.36
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wigan Athletic v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.25/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.28
-5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
276 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.6 Crosses 15.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Wigan Athletic vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
311 Passes 232
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
12.08.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
09.02.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
31.10.2020 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-3 HT 0-2 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
01.01.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
19.09.2017 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1

Wigan Athletic 2-1 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
2-1
AWAY Northampton Town
1.98 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
341 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic edged past Northampton Town 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wigan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 53% of the ball to Northampton Town's 47%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.98 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wigan Athletic and 0.83 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Northampton Town?

Wigan Athletic 2-1 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 46%, draw 30%, Northampton Town 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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